If a teacher wanted to demonstrate the conjunction fallacy, the best strategy is to ask his students to estimate _______.

Question

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which city has a larger population: Johannesburg or Durban.

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which mathematical product is greater: 12×3×4×5×6 or 6×5×4×3×2×1.

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which event is more likely: that ‘100 people are killed in a bus accident’ or that ‘100 people are killed in a bus accident in KwaZulu-Natal’.

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which cause of death is more common: being attacked by a wild animal, or heart disease.

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