An analyst writes:

“From Output 1.1, P(Surge | High) = 36/72 = 0.50, so the sensor network correctly identifies 50% of surge days. In other words it misses half of all surges. Because 0.50 is much bigger than the overall proportion of surge days, 0.25, flagged High days cause asthma surges.”

Evaluate, explain and critique this conclusion. For parts you agree with, explain why they are true. For parts you disagree with, explain how to correct them.