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Based on all the information currently available, you estimate that the patient ...
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Based on all the information currently available, you estimate that the patient in your office has a one in four chance of having a serious disease. You order a diagnostic test with sensitivity of 95% and specificity of 90%.
The result comes back negative. Based on all the information now available, the chance your patient really has the disease is closest to:
100%
0%
0%
0%