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The table below is the data set of the number of preorders received for a partic...

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The table below is the data set of the number of preorders received for a particular game on a weekly basis.

The forecaster uses the Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing for nonseasonal series to forecast the number of preorders in future time periods.

He uses α = 0.8 and β = 0.5. (Hint: Use the formula from the text to arrive at the answers.)

 

Week

Preorders

1

266

2

310

3

330

4

342

5

388

6

462

7

548

8

624

9

666

10

686

11

726

 

 What is initial estimate of the trend value for week 2?

Write the answer as following :

XX

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