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Match the four observations from a tourism dataset with their most appropriate ...

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Match the four observations from a tourism dataset with their most appropriate interpretations.

Observation

Pattern

P

The extracted long-term movement increases gradually over several years.

Q

The seasonal contribution for December rises from +60 to +150 across five years.

R

One month's observed demand differs sharply from the sum of its estimated trend and seasonality.

S

The extracted seasonal component repeats approximately every 12 observations.

Interpretations:

  1. Unusual remainder

  2. Annual seasonal cycle in monthly data

  3. Increasing long-term trend

  4. Changing seasonal amplitude

Choose the correct matching.

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