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There are two jars (jar A and jar B).
Jar A is composed of 50% red balls, and 50% blue balls. Jar B is composed of 60% red balls, and 40% blue balls.
You play the following game: you toss a biased coin (which has probability of heads 0.8), and if it comes up heads you pick a ball randomly from jar A, otherwise you pick a ball randomly from jar B.
You play the game and end up with a blue ball, what is the probability that this blue ball came from jar A?