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The table below shows the quarterly sales of a particular kind of vaccine for dogs. The forecaster uses autoregressive models with p = 3 to forecast the sales for future time periods.
Year Quarter | Sales (000’s) |
1.1 | 272 |
1.2 | 239 |
1.3 | 158 |
1.4 | 219 |
2.1 | 228 |
2.2 | 198 |
2.3 | 169 |
2.4 | 238 |
3.1 | 270 |
3.2 | 246 |
3.3 | 203 |
3.4 | 284 |
4.1 | 299 |
4.2 | 267 |
4.3 | 218 |
4.4 | 293 |
5.1 | 307 |
5.2 | 258 |
5.3 | 323 |
5.4 | 296 |
6.1 | 307 |
6.2 | 271 |
6.3 | 197 |
6.4 | 266 |
Which of the following has an approximate forecast of 270 units?
Give the answer as following:
X quarter in year X
The table below shows the quarterly sales of a particular kind of vaccine for dogs. The forecaster uses autoregressive models with p = 3 to forecast the sales for future time periods.
Year Quarter | Sales (000’s) |
1.1 | 272 |
1.2 | 239 |
1.3 | 158 |
1.4 | 219 |
2.1 | 228 |
2.2 | 198 |
2.3 | 169 |
2.4 | 238 |
3.1 | 270 |
3.2 | 246 |
3.3 | 203 |
3.4 | 284 |
4.1 | 299 |
4.2 | 267 |
4.3 | 218 |
4.4 | 293 |
5.1 | 307 |
5.2 | 258 |
5.3 | 323 |
5.4 | 296 |
6.1 | 307 |
6.2 | 271 |
6.3 | 197 |
6.4 | 266 |
The number of forecast values determined is:
The table below shows the quarterly sales of a particular kind of vaccine for dogs. The forecaster uses autoregressive models with p = 3 to forecast the sales for future time periods.
Year Quarter | Sales (000’s) |
1.1 | 272 |
1.2 | 239 |
1.3 | 158 |
1.4 | 219 |
2.1 | 228 |
2.2 | 198 |
2.3 | 169 |
2.4 | 238 |
3.1 | 270 |
3.2 | 246 |
3.3 | 203 |
3.4 | 284 |
4.1 | 299 |
4.2 | 267 |
4.3 | 218 |
4.4 | 293 |
5.1 | 307 |
5.2 | 258 |
5.3 | 323 |
5.4 | 296 |
6.1 | 307 |
6.2 | 271 |
6.3 | 197 |
6.4 | 266 |
The autoregressive equation is:
The table below shows the quarterly sales of Dragon Ball Z action figures in a toy store. The forecaster uses the double exponential smoothing model to determine the forecast for future periods.
Given: α = 0.7 and β = 0.3
Year: Quarter | Sales (000’s) |
1.1 | 272 |
1.2 | 239 |
1.3 | 158 |
1.4 | 219 |
2.1 | 228 |
2.2 | 198 |
2.3 | 169 |
2.4 | 238 |
3.1 | 270 |
3.2 | 246 |
3.3 | 203 |
3.4 | 284 |
4.1 | 299 |
4.2 | 267 |
4.3 | 218 |
4.4 | 293 |
5.1 | 307 |
5.2 | 258 |
5.3 | 323 |
5.4 | 296 |
6.1 | 307 |
6.2 | 271 |
6.3 | 197 |
6.4 | 266 |
What is the approximate sales forecast (in 000's) for the 3rd quarter of year 8?
120 units
The table below shows the quarterly sales of Dragon Ball Z action figures in a toy store. The forecaster uses the double exponential smoothing model to determine the forecast for future periods.
Given: α = 0.7 and β = 0.3
Year: Quarter | Sales (000’s) |
1.1 | 272 |
1.2 | 239 |
1.3 | 158 |
1.4 | 219 |
2.1 | 228 |
2.2 | 198 |
2.3 | 169 |
2.4 | 238 |
3.1 | 270 |
3.2 | 246 |
3.3 | 203 |
3.4 | 284 |
4.1 | 299 |
4.2 | 267 |
4.3 | 218 |
4.4 | 293 |
5.1 | 307 |
5.2 | 258 |
5.3 | 323 |
5.4 | 296 |
6.1 | 307 |
6.2 | 271 |
6.3 | 197 |
6.4 | 266 |
The sales forecast for the 4th quarter of year 7 is approximately ________ in 000's.
The table below shows the quarterly sales of a gifting store. The forecaster uses the Holt-Winters multiplicative model to determine the forecast for future periods.
Given: α = 0.6, β = 0.5, and γ = 0.4.
Year: Quarter | Sales |
1.1 | 150 |
1.2 | 284 |
1.3 | 119 |
1.4 | 115 |
2.1 | 187 |
2.2 | 266 |
2.3 | 138 |
2.4 | 116 |
3.1 | 170 |
3.2 | 221 |
3.3 | 124 |
3.4 | 121 |
What is the sales forecast for the 3rd quarter of year 4?
approximately 133 units
Answer by TRUE (Vrai) or FALSE (Faux)
The table below shows the quarterly sales of a gifting store. The forecaster uses the Holt-Winters multiplicative model to determine the forecast for future periods.
Given: α = 0.6, β = 0.5, and γ = 0.4.
Year: Quarter | Sales |
1.1 | 150 |
1.2 | 284 |
1.3 | 119 |
1.4 | 115 |
2.1 | 187 |
2.2 | 266 |
2.3 | 138 |
2.4 | 116 |
3.1 | 170 |
3.2 | 221 |
3.3 | 124 |
3.4 | 121 |
What is the sales forecast for the 3rd quarter of year 4?
The table below is the data set of the number of preorders received for a particular game on a weekly basis.
The forecaster uses the Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing for nonseasonal series to forecast the number of preorders in future time periods.
He uses α = 0.8 and β = 0.5. (Hint: Use the formula from the text to arrive at the answers.)
Week | Preorders |
1 | 266 |
2 | 310 |
3 | 330 |
4 | 342 |
5 | 388 |
6 | 462 |
7 | 548 |
8 | 624 |
9 | 666 |
10 | 686 |
11 | 726 |
What is initial estimate of the trend value for week 2?
Write the answer as following :
XX
The following are the values of a time series for the first four time periods:
t | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
xt | 25 | 27 | 30 | 26 |
Using a four-period moving average, determine the forecasted value for time period 5.
Write the answer as following:
XX